🌾 Crop Yield Estimator — Tonnes per Hectare

Predict your crop yield based on growing season rainfall, plant population, and stress factors. Works for wheat, barley, canola, and other broadacre crops.

Quick answer: Water-limited yield = (Rainfall × Rain Use Efficiency) ÷ 1000. Wheat on 250mm rain with RUE 18 = 4.5 t/ha. Final yield = water-limited × stress factors (frost, heat, nutrients).

🌾 Estimate Crop Yield

April-October for winter crops
Wheat 15-20, Barley 16-22, Canola 10-15
Frost, heat, disease, weeds — 100% = no stress
Estimated Yield (t/ha)
Water-Limited Yield
Bushels per Acre (US)

📐 How Crop Yield Is Estimated

Water-limited yield (kg/ha) = Rainfall (mm) × Rain Use Efficiency (kg/mm/ha)
Yield (t/ha) = Water-limited yield ÷ 1000 × (Stress Factor ÷ 100)
  1. Measure growing season rainfall — April-October for winter crops
  2. Apply rain use efficiency — crop-specific potential yield per mm rain
  3. Apply stress factors — frost, heat, disease, nutrient stress reduce yield
  4. Convert to tonnes — divide kg/ha by 1000

📊 Worked Example

Wheat crop with 250mm growing season rain, RUE 18 kg/mm/ha, 15% stress from frost.

Water-limited = 250 × 18 = 4,500 kg/ha (4.5 t/ha)
Actual yield = 4,500 × 0.85 = 3,825 kg/ha = 3.8 t/ha

Without frost stress, yield would have been 4.5 t/ha. Frost cost the grower 0.7 t/ha — at $300/t = $210/ha loss.

❓ Frequently Asked Questions

Water-limited yield = (Growing season rainfall × Rain use efficiency) ÷ 1000. Example: 250mm rain × 18 kg/mm = 4.5 t/ha. Multiply by stress factors for actual yield.

Wheat: 15-20, Barley: 16-22, Canola: 10-15, Oats: 12-18, Triticale: 15-20 kg/mm/ha.

Use a 1m² quadrat. Count heads × grains per head × grain weight. Example: 500 heads/m² × 25 grains × 40mg = 500g/m² = 5 t/ha. Take 10 random samples.

Frost during flowering (can halve yield), heat stress (above 35°C), waterlogging, nutrient deficiency, weeds, disease, and poor establishment.

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